OPEC makes deepest oil cut ever to rescue prices
ORAN, Algeria (Reuters) - OPEC oil ministers agreed their deepest oil cut ever on Wednesday, slashing 2.2 million barrels per day from oil markets in a race to balance supply with rapidly crumbling demand for fuel.
The 12 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries were also aiming to build a floor under prices that have dropped more than $100 from a July peak above $147 a barrel.
The cut, effective from January 1, comes on top of existing reductions of 2 million bpd agreed by OPEC at its last two meetings. It lowers the group's supply target to 24.845 million bpd.
"I hope we surprised you -- if not, we have to do something about it, said OPEC President Chakib Khelil, host of the conference.
Oil fell more than $3 toward $40 following the deal, after weekly U.S. data showed inventories in the world's biggest consumer continued to swell.
A deepening recession has battered world demand and fuel inventories are bulging worldwide. Prices already have plunged by two-thirds since the summer and analysts say the oil market is under the sway of world financial turmoil.
"The world economy is driving the price more than anything OPEC can do at this stage," said Gary Ross, CEO of consultancy PIRA Energy. "It will be hard for the cuts to have any traction with regard to price in a deteriorating economic environment."
OPEC's president said the group would do its utmost to ensure new restraints were strictly enforced.
"I can tell you it's going to be implemented and it's going to be implemented very well because we do not have a choice," said Khelil, also Algeria's energy minister.
"If not, the situation is going to get worse."
Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, has led by example -- reducing supplies to customers even before a cut has been agreed to help push prices back toward the $75 level Saudi King Abdullah has identified as "fair."
"The purpose of the cut is to bring the market into balance and avoid the gyrations of the price," said Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi. "The cut may lead to higher prices or may not."
The cut, the third this year, brings a total reduction in OPEC supply to 4.2 million bpd, nearly a five percent cut in world oil supplies. OPEC is due to meet again on Mar 15.
FEELING THE PAIN
Oil below $50 is uncomfortable for all producing nations, but especially for OPEC members Venezuela and Iran which are dependent on higher prices to fund ambitious domestic programs.
It is hoped that a sharp supply cut will set oil on the path toward $75.
"You must understand the purpose of the $75 price is for a much more noble cause," the Saudi Oil Minister said. "You need every producer to produce and marginal producers cannot produce at $40 a barrel."
"Therefore we believe that $75 is probably more conducive to marginal producers to continue so we don't have a shortage in the market and we avoid the future sky-rocketing of prices."
Analysts said a limited recovery in prices would put a bit more strain on a recessionary global economy, but it may help pull the world back from the brink of deflation -- a growing source of concern.
The influential Saudi Oil Minister clearly outlined the kingdom's route to lower production.
It is pumping 8.2 million bpd against 9.7 million bpd in August. Saudi Arabia's implied output target is about 8.477 million bpd under existing OPEC curbs.
To have a lasting price impact, any OPEC deal must to be strictly observed.
According to independent observers cited in OPEC's monthly report on Tuesday, the group's compliance in November to existing cuts was only just over 50 percent.
Analysts said deeper cuts would further test discipline in the group. That restraint would be needed to slim down growing world oil stocks.
OPEC has encouraged other producers to cut back too. Russia and Azerbaijan are attending the Oran meeting as observers and have said they could rein in exports in future, but stopped short of am immediate pledge.
Leading a high level delegation, Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin said in a speech to OPEC that Moscow did not plan to join in coordinated output cuts and did not want to join the group.
