Sunday, July 20, 2008

22nd July 2008 are very crushal of Indian Capital Market

Vote of Confidence

Please listen all political parties.

For the interest of our nation

Why not all the major political parties will consensus in the matter and agree to continue support of present government till further election.

IF AND BUT ASSUMPTION

1. If congress win the confidence vote -Then we may see – Reforms will be accelerate, Confidence will regain towards India and more and more funds will deply in the market/project. All are result market will move 1000 to 2000 point.

In case of govt. survive Catch Anil ADAG and Power stocks

2. If congress unable to produce confidence vote then -Reforms will be stopped, redemption pressure will be built of domestic mutual fund, more and more selling will be invited in the market and likely FIIs will start quick India movement, till the position clear. Further be prepare for 2000-3000 points fall.

OPTION STRATEGIES

BUY NIFTY 4300 CE Around 40

BUY NIFTY 3800 PE Around 50

Friday, July 18, 2008

Nifty is Expected to open around 4000 level But Resistance of 4041 level is the major hurdle.
Sell Nifty on every rise mkt is still volitaile till 22 july.
nifty today support 3875-3911 Resistance 3980 4020

Thursday, July 17, 2008

The weekly inflation data will be out today. The government has shifted the date of release of the inflation data from this week to Thursday evening, 5 pm.

A CNBC-TV18 poll sees inflation surging to 12.03% for week ended July 5. The RBI governor YV Reddy has already told a Parliamentary panel that inflation will start moderating only after six months.

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

As a result of global market downturn and our `political wrestling`, market is in panic selling pressure. Clarity about market will come only after the outcome of confidence motion on nuke deal; untill then investors or traders should wait and watch.

BSE 12,345 and Reliance 1,946 and 1,875 are two important support levels for entire market.

For the TIME cycle Mkt Expectded to move down on 18 July.

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

MKT Looking Weak today opening expecting to 3940 nifty.if nifty close below 3900it may test his new low in this weak. 3740 level is expected to comes on 18 JULY.

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Golden Rules of Profitable Trading.
1. Making money in the markets has almost nothing to do with how often you win - but everything to do with how you manage your risk.
2. Never risk more than 10% of your account equity on any one investment, trade, or recommendation.
3. Always use protective stops!
4. How you exit a trade is as important, if not more important, than how you enter it.
5. Discipline makes money - Discipline in predetermining your risk and putting as much emphasis on when no exit a trade as you do on when to enter a trade.
6. Ignore the News.
7. Always keep in mind : News does not dictate the major trends in any market or security. To the monetary, news flows from the trends.

BUY NIFTY 4000 CE TGT 4238 Nifty Spot Stop Loss 3900 NIFTY spot.

BUY Infosystch 1800 CA Around 30 Stop Loss 18 TGT 60-75.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Tomorrow Three 'I' Factor Hold the key of Indian market.

First Infosys Result
Infosys Technologies is to announce its Q1FY09 results. According to CNBC-TV18's estimates, the company's net sales are expected to go up 7.8% to Rs 4895.7 crore from Rs 4542 crore.
Its net profit is seen up 1.9% to Rs 1272.2 crore from Rs 1249 crore.
Itd EPS is expected to be Rs 22.53.
Q1 GUIDANCE
Re terms
Revenues 4570 – 4582 cr
Growth 0.6-0.9%
EPS Rs 20.73
Re/$ 40.02.

Second IIP Data

Third Inflation Number

Market opening will be led by Infosys results tomorrow

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Nifty Closed Above its Resistance 4095.RSI Witnessed bounce back from its triger line Whereas MACD gave positive crossover with its trigger line shows bullish pattern.Support at 4100 Resistance around 4230.

BUY ICICIBANK Support 606 TGT 668-691.

Out of given three levels -`BSE 13,786`, `F&O Nifty 4,080` and `RIL 2,140` two levels have been crossed whose impact can be seen on wednesday.

Investors to be cautious for two to three days as government will face confidence motion in parliament and the market may give cautious approach or make some correction.

After the clearance of confidence motion government will start working on further liberalization and controlling inflation, in that scenario our market will give positive trend.

Why do investors buy shares?


Diversification‘Don’t put all your egg in one basket is one of the most famous sayings about successful investing. There is cycle for markets in shares and property. Some investors are entrap for investing all their capital into one beneficial stock which is at its peak, and then observe another asset takes off without them. Rather than trying to ‘time the market’, it is superior to broaden your horizons, scattering your peril, and take pleasure in the upsurges in markets hyhmbecause you are already in them.
Better returns over the long-term.

It is also observed that a long-term investment have the probability to offer healthier returns after tax in comparison to other major investment. Though it is understood that past performance is not assured for the future returns. In comparison to long-term investment the price with periods of short-term precariousness, where prices can go up or down very quickly. It is generally important to accept a standard to long-term investment view of five years or more.
Shares for capital growth.

The general rise in the cost of living is represented by Inflation. If your investments do not have any capital growth, your money will buy less in the future than it does now. People invest in shares because they offer the possibility that their price will rise. Owning a share with a rising value allows you to grow your investment. In addition to rising share prices, dividends and dividend re-investment plans can multiply the capital growth effect of a share investment. Shares for dividend income.

The allotment of a company’s net profit to shareholders is called dividend. It is a reward for shareholders. Dividend capitulate differ seriously from company to company. The companies at the developing stage provide a low dividend yield while other, more established companies might provide a higher dividend yield. Some companies offer dividend re-investment plans. This allows investors to use dividends to purchase additional shares. This process lets you reinvest earnings into new shares.

Tax benefits.

Shares enjoy very good taxation benefits in comparison to most other investments.

Financial control.

Flexibility and liquidity are key advantages of shares. It is easy and relatively cheap to buy and sell small amounts of shares to free up some cash, rebalance your portfolio or simply lock-in a profit. Many people appreciate how easy it is to invest in shares. There’s no conveyance cost, stamp duty or ongoing expenses. You can do everything over the internet if you wish, and brokerage fees are much lower than typical real estate agent fees. A good approach is to start small, buying shares in companies you know, and take the time to learn as you go. It is easy to gear an investment in shares. You can often borrow up to 70% of their value and dividends can be used to offset the interest payable. So shares can provide leveraged returns.

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Tuesday, July 8, 2008

After the announcement of withdrawal of support by the communists from the government, the markets looked positive. Market participants must have felt that government is free from allied pressure. Due to the nuclear deals, capital goods segment which would gain from the deal advanced. Banking stocks saw good recovery.
FIIs will change their negative attitude as majority in the parliament are in nuke deal`s favor. He says it`s a positive sign and that July will be a buck making month.
SENSEX 13,786`, `F&O Nifty 4,080` and `RIL 2,140` ; if any two levels are crossed, it will boost 5% to 10% jump in market.

BUY NIFTY(spot) SUPPORT 3900-3850 TGT 4043-4113-4177-4230. HOLD THIS POSTION Till MONDAY.
BUY Nifty 4100 CE tgt 4200 Nifty in spot StopLoss 3900 Spot on Closing basis.

Monday, July 7, 2008

BSE 13,786, F&O Nifty 4,080 and RIL 2,140, are the three trigger levels for market to jump 10% in short period. Till then market may be volatile due to good and bad news.
As per the media reports about windfall tax on private oil companies is the result of yesterday`s fall in Reliance stocks. Reliance may go down up to Rs 1,946 and Rs 1,875 on both levels.Initiate fresh long position in Nifty only above 4,147.
Star Trade: Deccan Air up 20.3%; adds 1.6 lakh shares
Fresh Shorts: RPL dn 3.3%; adds 19.7 lakh dn 6.5%; adds 9.4 lakh shares Reliance dn 4.1%; adds 4.1 lakh shares Bajaj Hind dn 7.5%; adds 4.4 lakh shares
Short Covering: IFCI up 4.9%; sheds 10.7 lakh shares Nagarjuna Const up 7.4%; sheds 3.3 lakh shares JP Asso up 4.4%; sheds 3.2 lakh shares
Fresh Long: Siemens up 6.5%; adds 1.2 lakh shares Satyam up 3.6%; adds 6 lakh shares SBI up 3.9%; adds 3.2 lakh shares.

Sunday, July 6, 2008

``Political crisis seems to be over and nuke deal hurdle will be cleared, the same will boost market sentiments, hopefully FIIs selling will also take halt after this development,`

Capital good sector stocks were in good demand due to expectation of signing the nuclear deal. Areva T&D, Alstom Power, L&T, Punj Lloyd, ABB and Siemens were the major beneficiaries, if the nuke deal is through we may see a fall in crude price there by reduction in inflation and subsequently a boom in the stock market.`

If BSE sustains above 13,786 then it may go up to 14,350 /14,355 /14,786

BUY Nifty Support 3985 TGT 4100,4126

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Seven Ways To Survive The Stock Markets Correction.
1. Stop Listening To Analysts

Most analysts in the media instead of providing you with a solution will just confuse you. Somebody will say everything is doomed while others will say things are great in the long term. Forget listening to analysts- most of them won’t be of any help. The reason people listen to analysts is because they are looking for peace and hope. Trust me you will get none of that by listening to somebody else. Peace and hope are all within you.

2. Stop Staring At Your Portfolio Every Thirty Minutes

Another mistake people make is that they get up every morning and wait for the markets to open. Once markets open they start staring at their stock prices. A fall makes you feel worse and small rise makes you feel a little better. This won’t help either. Instead keep track of the fundamentals of your company every time the results are out. If your company is profitable and growing - be happy. If it isn’t, find out if you need to exit. The stock price will catch up in the near future if business is growing. Do you stare at your money kept in a bank FD everyday? Most probably not. Use the same principle when you invest in stocks or mutual funds.

3. Be Patient

Many of you might not have a lot of cash to buy cheap now; however please be patient with whatever you have bought. Even the youngest billionaire on Earth today is 23 years old. It took him 23 years to be a billionaire and he didn’t do it in few days or weeks. The youngest billionaire probably in history is 23-year-old Mark Zuckerberg - the founder of the social networking site-Facebook.

4. Speak To Actual Investors With Experience

Instead of interacting with analysts or your broker, speak with people who are actual investors and who have been in the market for longer periods of time than you. They will tell you how they have survived various stock market corrections and what has made them richer. Read and learn more about people who have actually created wealth and sustained it over a long period of time.

5. Stop Following Crazy Tips

Please for heaven’s sake stop following ‘hot’ tips which promise to make you a millionaire in a matter of months. Maybe the ‘hot’ tip is only meant for billionaires who would end up as millionaires in case they do follow the tip. If it seems to good to be true, it is probably just a scam, which hopes to take money away from retail investors and put them in the hands of greedy manipulators. Similarly stop following rumours about how fundamentally strong companies are going to be shut down and go bankrupt in the next few months. Use your own head and trust yourself.

6. Understand Market Cycles

Every asset class has a cycle. Stock markets, mutual funds, real estate all move in cycles. Please realize that nothing can keep going up forever in a single direction. There will be phases when prices will come down and again move up. If you go back into history you will see several instances when stock prices came down, however over a period of time quality companies always reward investors. Understand market cycles, and don’t become a slave to them.

7. Follow The Guru

Today the richest man on earth, Warren Buffett, is an investor who has created wealth because he has stayed away from what everybody else is doing and has simply invested in quality companies for the long term. He invested in Gillette, for the simple reason that he believed that men won’t stop shaving. It makes sense to follow, as I call him, “The Guru” and think long term and remember people who create wealth do things that others don’t.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

The Secrets to Emotion Free Trading
1- Always use Stop Orders: Always remember not to put your money on a trade having no top order.
2- Stop Trading, after losing 3 trades in one day: According to successful traders if you lost three trades in one day then stop trading and avoid plowing you in a huge hole.
3- If you get more than 100 point in a trade then you must move your stop order to manage. If you obtain respectable money in a trade then do not allow yourself to lose money on that trade.
4- Wait for an indication to get into the market and just don't take an inoculation. Trader usually gets themselves into dilemma if they have sensitivity about the market and act on it. They can be much more successful if they use a chart formation or a technical reason to get into the market.
5- Traders must proceed with their best concentration in wits. It is something they should make an effort and do in small amount each and every trade they put on. By this they will realize that only are only responsible for their results.
6- Lighten up with your trade. If your trading is not like vocation with avocation, it implies that if you are not enjoying and having fun then it is not worth doing. If you don't take pleasure in it, you won't be successful.
7- Last but not least, you don't have to trade everyday. Occasionally traders just leave the market alone and forget about if for a day. It usually refreshes them.

India Grey Market Premiums
Avon Weighing 10 6 to 8
Sejal Architectural Glass Ltd. 115 17 to 20
First Winners Ind. Ltd. 125 2 to 3
Archid Ply Ind. 74 3 to 4
Lotus Eye Care Hospital 38 2 to 2.50
KSK Energy Venture 240 to 255
DiscountSomi Conveyor Belting 35 3 to 5
Birla Cotysn (India) 15 to 18 1.50 to 2